نفت شیل، پلی به انرژی تجدیدپذیر

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طبق گفته Rystad Energy، شرکت‌های مطرح نفتی، مانند Chevron  و  ExxonMobil با سرمایه‌گذاری در نفت شیل خود را برای تحول انرژی آماده می‌کنند و منتظر هستند تا تکنولوژی‌های تجدیدپذیر مقرون‌به‌صرفه شوند.

بررسی اخیر در مورد بودجه سرمایه‌ای سال ۲۰۱۹ نشان می‌دهد که شرکت‌های مطرح نفتی تنها گروهی هستند که هزینه‌های شیل را از سال ۲۰۱۸ تا ۲۰۱۹ افزایش داده‌اند.

از مزایای نفت شیل، تکرارپذیری آن در طبیعت، بازگشت سرمایه سریع و بازده بالا است.  Rystad Energy پیش‌بینی می‌کند تقاضای نفت تا سال ۲۰۳۷ به حداکثر برسد اما افزایش بهره‌وری هر تکنولوژی می‌تواند این زمان را به  سال۲۰۲۷ تقلیل دهد.

اگر کل نفت شیل در فیلدهای ساحلی و دریایی باقیمت کمتر از ۶۰ دلار (نقطه سربه‌سر) به ازای هر بشکه فروخته شوند، نقطه اوج تقاضای جهانی زودتر از موعد Rystad Energy ، در سال ۲۰۳۱ به وقوع می‌پیوندد.

باوجود اینکه برخی از شرکت‌های نفتی بزرگ در سال‌های اخیر در انرژی تجدیدپذیر سرمایه‌گذاری کرده‌اند، پروژه‌های انرژی تجدیدپذیر کماکان در تلاش برای رقابت با سوخت‌های فسیلی هستند.

به‌طور مثال Equinor سال گذشته اعلام کرد که هزینه‌های تولید در مزارع بادی دریایی آن حدود ۲۰۰ یورو در هر مگاوات ساعت می‌شود. هدف این شرکت، کاهش هزینه‌های تولید تا ۵۰ یورو در هر مگاوات است. در                              حال حاضر، هزینه تولید انرژی سوخت فسیلی بین ۴۰ تا ۱۲۰ یورو در هر مگاوات ساعت است.

 

 


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